Posted: 12/02/2011
ST. LOUIS (Nov. 23, 2011) - Will this year's holiday travel numbers indicate signs of a double dip recession? A new Maritz® Poll released today projects a significant decline in holiday travel
compared to last year, with just 21 percent of Americans planning to
travel this holiday season, compared to 28 percent in 2010. These
numbers indicate the sharpest decline in the Maritz® Poll's seven-year
history, with a record low 11 percent planning to travel for
Thanksgiving and only 16 percent planning to travel for the winter
holidays. This decline amounts to approximately eight million fewer
households traveling this year compared to last year, with a projected
$8.96 billion loss to the travel industry.
"This year's poll
findings indicate that the pressures of continued financial concerns are
causing people to re-evaluate travel plans," says Rick Garlick, senior director of consulting and strategic implementation for Maritz Research's Hospitality Research Group.
Similar
to the 2009 poll results, 31 percent of those not traveling indicated
that finances played a role in the decision to stay home, with 20
percent citing finances as a ‘major reason' for not traveling.
Additionally, 31 percent said a member of their household had either
lost a job in the past year (13 percent) or went through an extensive
period of unemployment within the past three years (18 percent).
The
only positive economic indicator is that, unlike the year 2009, when
the economic downturn caused both travel incidence and financial spend
to decline, this year those traveling intend to spend a nearly identical
amount to what travelers spent last year.
"Traditionally, holiday travel is one of the most resilient American customs with people undeterred in
their desire to get home for the holidays," added Garlick. "However,
with a jarring 31 percent of respondents citing recent or extended
unemployment within their households, perhaps holiday travel is more of a
luxury than a ‘must-do' for many Americans this year."
Additionally,
while gas prices remain high across the U.S., the airline industry's
challenges including higher fares, fewer flights, and the increased
hassle of airport security show that far more Americans are looking to
the "road trip" for holiday travel.
"We can understand why the
airline industry has had to recently ‘right-size' its business," said
Garlick. "Still, there will be far fewer travelers crowding the airports
this holiday season than we've seen in the past. For most people, air
travel is not the option it used to be, from both a financial and
customer experience perspective."
This year, only 16 percent of
Thanksgiving travelers are flying, a three percent decline from last
year's 19 percent. For Thanksgiving, 82 percent are driving and as the
weather worsens for the winter holidays, the proportion of those driving
narrows to 63 percent compared to 33 percent flying. This represents a
much larger gap than indicated in previous years, such as 2005 when the
proportion of those driving was 53 percent compared to 44 percent
flying.
For additional commentary on what's ahead for
holiday travel, Garlick is available for media interviews. Call Maria
Brewer at 212-754-6500 to schedule an interview.
About Maritz® Poll
Maritz® Poll is a national consumer opinion survey conducted periodically by Maritz
Research. Maritz conducted a national telephone poll of 1012
participants from Oct. 17 to Oct. 23 to learn about Americans' travel
plans for the upcoming holiday season, which includes both Thanksgiving
and the winter holidays, such as Christmas, Hanukah, and New Year's.
Some questions were also included that asked about recent hotel
experiences and perceptions. The data was collected through random
digit dial methodology and later weighted to U.S. census data to better
reflect the U.S. population. The poll had a maximum margin of sampling
error of +/- 3%.
About Maritz Research
As
one of the world's largest marketing research firms, Maritz Research, a
unit of Maritz, helps many of today's most successful companies improve
performance through a deep understanding of their customers, employees
and channel partners. Founded in 1973, it offers a range of strategic
and tactical solutions concentrating primarily in the automotive,
financial services, hospitality, technology, telecommunications, and
retail industries. The company has achieved ISO 20252 registration, the
international symbol of quality. It is a member of CASRO, ESOMAR, MRA,
and is the official sponsor of the American Marketing Association.
For more information, visit www.MaritzResearch.com or contact us at 1-877-4MARITZ.
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